Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.791291 2.152482 2.558867 3.048626 3.621442 4.268727 5.054032
2025-12-28 1.336804 1.811642 2.404185 3.192234 4.206335 5.460289 7.120110
2026-01-04 1.035474 1.552002 2.254232 3.265941 4.670798 6.534719 9.173002
2026-01-11 0.852758 1.393323 2.183584 3.400714 5.199832 7.726925 11.500788
2026-01-18 0.690101 1.220430 2.048602 3.402769 5.518222 8.641429 13.526618
2026-01-25 0.544954 1.039378 1.861200 3.282240 5.618363 9.227833 15.115120
2026-02-01 0.434325 0.890086 1.693540 3.157092 5.678893 9.740246 16.620313
2026-02-08 0.365651 0.800183 1.608142 3.150228 5.920497 10.547698 18.649729
2026-02-15 0.312145 0.727152 1.538650 3.156635 6.177807 11.396145 20.813216
2026-02-22 0.263537 0.653060 1.453294 3.118018 6.344417 12.098782 22.785289
2026-03-01 0.212512 0.561896 1.317538 2.959837 6.266280 12.358331 24.003843
2026-03-08 0.180728 0.507118 1.246808 2.919120 6.402481 13.008353 25.962220
2026-03-15 0.155107 0.462062 1.190965 2.904547 6.595207 13.794117 28.264777
2026-03-22 0.145247 0.455078 1.220140 3.078054 7.191419 15.402233 32.243673
2026-03-29 0.130975 0.432875 1.209637 3.160968 7.606458 16.694076 35.724580
2026-04-05 0.121084 0.420596 1.221089 3.295602 8.146681 18.280130 39.902334
2026-04-12 0.106190 0.389758 1.180010 3.298780 8.395657 19.293902 43.021346
2026-04-19 0.088594 0.345612 1.095521 3.181943 8.357094 19.703882 44.946617
2026-04-26 0.073678 0.305678 1.014461 3.060365 8.290737 20.044429 46.749117
2026-05-03 0.064703 0.283483 0.979427 3.053725 8.497269 20.992069 49.898017
2026-05-10 0.057277 0.264679 0.950795 3.059966 8.735479 22.028576 53.313265
2026-05-17 0.049712 0.242944 0.908845 3.022421 8.858392 22.813118 56.234742
2026-05-24 0.040661 0.212032 0.830999 2.868635 8.661843 22.841352 57.475395